Real-time trade remedy impact modelling and tariff scenario software
The Opportunity
As India institutionalises a ₹5 lakh crore Economic Stabilisation Fund with trade remedies as a core policy lever, 500+ domestic manufacturers will need to model how tariffs, safeguards, and anti-dumping duties affect their supply chains, pricing, and cash flows in real time. Currently, this analysis is manual, scattered across consultants, and reactive—companies need predictive dashboards to anticipate fund drawdowns and adjust procurement strategies.
Market Size
₹120-180 Cr addressable market — based on 8,000 mid-to-large Indian manufacturers × ₹15-22.5 lakh per license annually for scenario planning SaaS; secondary opportunity in trade consulting firms needing quantitative backbone
Business Model
B2B SaaS: tiered subscription model. Freemium dashboard with 3-month tariff scenario lookback. Base tier (₹2.5L/yr): 12-month forward modelling, single product category, 10 SKU slots. Pro tier (₹8L/yr): multi-category, supply chain node mapping, export-impact simulator. Enterprise (₹20L+/yr): real-time customs data feed integration, Fund drawdown probability triggers, competitor tariff exposure benchmarking.
SaaS subscriptions: ₹80 Cr (base case: 5,000 customers × avg ₹16L); data licensing (customs brokers, trade associations): ₹20 Cr; API access for ERP vendors (SAP, Oracle localization partners): ₹15 Cr; advisory consulting (trade economists retained as fractional CTOs): ₹10 Cr.
Your 30-Day Action Plan
Interview 20 supply chain managers at auto, pharma, textile companies on current pain points in trade remedy forecasting; map top 50 tariff scenarios affecting Indian imports (steel, polymers, electronics, APIs).
Build prototype dashboard: integrate WTO/India Customs tariff database, create 3-month rolling scenario model, mock user flows for tariff impact on COGS and fund trigger thresholds.
Secure pilot partnerships with 2-3 mid-cap manufacturers (₹500Cr revenue+); offer 90-day free access for validation and case study data; onboard 1 trade consultant as advisor.
Launch waitlist via trade association channels (FICCI, NASSCOM, SIAM); secure first 50 beta users; prepare seed raise deck anchored on Fund institutionalisation as TAM multiplier.
Compliance & Regulatory Angle
SaaS requires ISO 27001 (data security), GST 18% on software services. Financial modelling outputs may trigger regulatory review if shared with exchanges (disclose as advisory, not investment advice). RBI/DPIIT compliance if handling real tariff data (non-sensitive). Export control compliance if tariff data used to optimize duty evasion (audit-proof use cases only).
Ready to Act on This Opportunity?
Generate a 7-step execution plan — validate the market, build the MVP, model the financials, map the risks, and ship in 30 days.